Bank Nifty EOD Dec 21 - Ready for Big Down Move!

Today Bank Nifty opened minor Gap Up. I was expecting Gap Down (I mentioned in yesterday's post), but correction that I thought is completed continued as complex pattern as shown in below 15 min chart.

Correction looks completed as index moved below channel line connecting (b)-(d) and also come back near channel line as normally happens with these patterns.

Today's correction completion looks like wave b of wave 3's a-b-c pattern. There is alteration in wave count to what I posted in yesterday's chart. Wave a is started at 18532 and completed at 18009. Wave b completed at 18167 today. Wave c down is in progress. Expect Gap Down Tomorrow, as that is personality of wave c (wave c of 1 & 2 were very sharp).

Target for wave c (Wave 3)

Based on Wave a → 18532-18009 = 523

Target

61.8% of wave a = 323 → 17844

100% of wave a = 523 → 17644

123.6% of wave a = 646 → 17521

138.2 of wave a = 723 → 17444

Inside Pitchfork 1 SD line (that gave support on Dec 7 RBI low and index bounced quickly from it) shows possible target as 17670.

Comments

Bank Nifty for Week Starting Jan 16, 2017

Last week Bank Nifty made big up move of 650 points. High made is 18966. It looks like it is ready for further up move. On hourly chart Middle BB line(RED color) is providing support and Index may again move up towards upper line of Blue Channel. The Best trading strategy is now to go Long when Index is bouncing from Middle BB line and Exit when it is near upper line of Blue Channel. Hourly RSI shows Resistance at 85 level and Support at 59 level. So Blue channel along with RSI levels are good indicators for trade. It is not good idea to go short as Up Momentum is strong. If Index breaks Middle BB line then only short positions should be taken. If Bank Nifty breaks 18850/18800 then we may see it reach quickly to 18650/18600. Also it may break RSI support level of 59 for major correction. We may see Index moving along Upper BB line (Blue color) on Daily chart. Index may face resistance at 19150/19200 level. If it crosses 19200 it can reach to 19500/197000. Daily RSI is

Bank Nifty EOD Feb 7 Update!

Bank Nifty is in consolidation/correction mode. Today it moved in a very narrow range and it seems that it is under time correction before a BIG move. It is awaiting RBI monetary policy decision due on Feb 8 and bank Nifty may make Big move on Feb 9 in either direction depending on market's reaction to RBI decision. Bank Nifty 15 min chart shows wave a and wave b completed and wave c is in progress. It may take triangle pattern of correction as uncertainty of event outcome is playing out. It may correct to 20250/20030 levels.

Hindalco - On the Verge of Break-Down?

Hindalco Daily chart is posted below: Daily chart shows prices are facing resistance at Gann level 183 and now prices are near lower band of Bollinger Bands(BB) that are expanding. Hence, a big fall is expected in next 2-3 trading sessions with target of next Gann level 157. Daily RSI is also broke 50 level coming from upside overbought 70 level that signals further fall in coming days.

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