Skip to main content

Bank Nifty EOD Dec 21 - Ready for Big Down Move!

Today Bank Nifty opened minor Gap Up. I was expecting Gap Down (I mentioned in yesterday's post), but correction that I thought is completed continued as complex pattern as shown in below 15 min chart.
Correction looks completed as index moved below channel line connecting (b)-(d) and also come back near channel line as normally happens with these patterns.


Today's correction completion looks like wave b of wave 3's a-b-c pattern. There is alteration in wave count to what I posted in yesterday's chart. Wave a is started at 18532 and completed at 18009. Wave b completed at 18167 today. Wave c down is in progress. Expect Gap Down Tomorrow, as that is personality of wave c (wave c of 1 & 2 were very sharp). 

Target for wave c (Wave 3)
Based on Wave a → 18532-18009 = 523
                                                    Target
61.8% of wave a    = 323   →    17844
100% of wave a     = 523   →    17644
123.6% of wave a  = 646   →    17521
138.2  of wave a    = 723   →    17444

Inside Pitchfork 1 SD line (that gave support on Dec 7 RBI low and index bounced quickly from it) shows possible target as 17670.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

VIX Analysis

The daily VIX chart shows the formation of Doji candles at the bottom and reversal. The daily RSI crossed the previous resistance level of 40. The MACD signal gave bullish crossover suggesting bullish move in VIX. So the daily chart shows the possibility of VIX moving towards 28 levels in the coming days. The weekly chart shows the formation of wedge and reversal from the bottom. VIX may move towards the upper wedge line @ 29-30. So VIX suggesting the bearish mood of the market and hence the high possibility of fall in Nifty-50 and Banknifty in the coming days/weeks. VIX Gann Box: The daily Gann Box shows a reversal from the mid-zone of time factor points. The next time factor date is Jul-21. So will VIX continue to move high till Jul-21 or it will reverse from angle point? Wait and watch. Using VIX to spot Intraday Reversal on Indices: VIX is a very useful indicator to spot reversal during day trade. If the price of an index moves up and @ resistance zone watch values of VIX. If VIX s...

Intraday Index Options Trading by Degree Gann Number System ! E-book available on Amazon - Download FREE!

  For the next 3-days, E-book is available FREE for download! Take advantage of this promotion. Requesting to write a review on amazon. Download link:- https:// amazon.in/dp/B09DHFS5KJ

BankNifty Update For Jul-09,2020 - Weekly Expiry

Banknifty opened Gap up @ 22700 and then achieved all our bullish targets of 23900/23000. But the upmove was very choppy and looked like terminating pattern and was not easy to trade. So I did not take a trade on the upside. My observation was Banknifty good up (250-300 points) while Nifty was not at all moving up and was just 10-15 points up and VIX was increasing. That was a signal that there is a high probability of reversal. (I twitted this around 12.30 pm). Banknifty continued its upmove and VIX was not falling, so I was sure that reversal is on the card from the strong resistance zone of 23900-23000/50. In yesterday's post, I mentioned about daily RSI @ resistance. That was another reason I was expecting a high probability of fall after it moved higher levels to come to at least yesterday's close levels or below. I got down-trade from almost 23000 to 22700 (got out earlier as it was intraday and not much time left though I was expecting at least 22600. It gave a much lowe...