BankNifty Update for Jul-06, 2020

In the update for Jul-02 post, I mentioned "The hourly chart gave a bullish MA crossover. Bullish crossover after bearish crossover suggests the rangebound possibility. The range maybe 21300-22300."

In the update for Jul-03 post"The hourly chart shows the possibility of Banknifty coming towards moving averages (21750-21600) before it starts moving up."

Banknifty exactly moved in a range for the last 2 days and came back to 30-EMA.

The daily chart shows Banknifty taking support near the lower line of the wedge. As long as this support is respected we can expect upside move towards 22500/22700/22900.

The hourly chart shows Banknifty taking support @ 30-EMA and Gann Number of 21800. The hourly chart shows a wedge formation. Break of this wedge may give some good sharp moves on either side.

VIX:

The daily Gann Box shows we are near the time factor. We may see a trend change in VIX in the next few days.

The hourly chart of VIX clearly shows the possibility of a spike in VIX as it is at channel support and RSI also at support.

FNO Data:

The change in future OI is not significant (increased by 1.5%). The spot to future is @ discount of 8.5, changed from the premium of 24. Nothing much to conclude from this data.

Trade Plan:

Above 21950 targets are 22050/21120/22300/22450

Below 21650 targets are 21550/21400/21250/21100

I have a bullish bias.

We may see some move tomorrow as we have Lunar eclipse on Jul-05. The effect may be seen on Jul-06. Jul-07 is a minor Gann date. So we may see some sharp moves in the coming days or maybe short term top on Jul-07.

Comments

Bank Nifty for Week Starting Jan 16, 2017

Last week Bank Nifty made big up move of 650 points. High made is 18966. It looks like it is ready for further up move. On hourly chart Middle BB line(RED color) is providing support and Index may again move up towards upper line of Blue Channel. The Best trading strategy is now to go Long when Index is bouncing from Middle BB line and Exit when it is near upper line of Blue Channel. Hourly RSI shows Resistance at 85 level and Support at 59 level. So Blue channel along with RSI levels are good indicators for trade. It is not good idea to go short as Up Momentum is strong. If Index breaks Middle BB line then only short positions should be taken. If Bank Nifty breaks 18850/18800 then we may see it reach quickly to 18650/18600. Also it may break RSI support level of 59 for major correction. We may see Index moving along Upper BB line (Blue color) on Daily chart. Index may face resistance at 19150/19200 level. If it crosses 19200 it can reach to 19500/197000. Daily RSI is

Bank Nifty EOD Feb 7 Update!

Bank Nifty is in consolidation/correction mode. Today it moved in a very narrow range and it seems that it is under time correction before a BIG move. It is awaiting RBI monetary policy decision due on Feb 8 and bank Nifty may make Big move on Feb 9 in either direction depending on market's reaction to RBI decision. Bank Nifty 15 min chart shows wave a and wave b completed and wave c is in progress. It may take triangle pattern of correction as uncertainty of event outcome is playing out. It may correct to 20250/20030 levels.

Hindalco - On the Verge of Break-Down?

Hindalco Daily chart is posted below: Daily chart shows prices are facing resistance at Gann level 183 and now prices are near lower band of Bollinger Bands(BB) that are expanding. Hence, a big fall is expected in next 2-3 trading sessions with target of next Gann level 157. Daily RSI is also broke 50 level coming from upside overbought 70 level that signals further fall in coming days.

MoneyNaad

Search This Blog