BankNifty Update For Jul-03, 2020

Banknifty opened 150+ points gap up @ 22133, reached our 1st target of 22300. It made top @ 22344 but could not sustain and sharply came down to 21900 levels. After that, it was typical expiry day rangebound move between 21900 and 22250.

The daily chart shows RSI holding 60 levels and the MACD line above the signal line. So further upmove is likely towards 22450-500 (recent top) and 22800-900 towards wedge upper line. But MACD histogram showing a lack of strong momentum in upmove.

The hourly chart shows the possibility of Banknifty coming towards moving averages (21750-21600) before it starts moving up.

FNO Data:

There is not much change in future OI (1%). But the spot to future difference is now @ premium of 24 from the discount of 47, a change of 71 points, suggesting short term bullish sentiments( or at least change from bearish sentiment). Since this is a long monthly expiry month, the premium should be much higher (So it is not strong bullish sentiment).

Trade Plan:

Above 22050 targets are 22200/220300/22450/22550/22700

Below 21900 targets are 21750/21600/21300

Comments

Bank Nifty for Week Starting Jan 16, 2017

Last week Bank Nifty made big up move of 650 points. High made is 18966. It looks like it is ready for further up move. On hourly chart Middle BB line(RED color) is providing support and Index may again move up towards upper line of Blue Channel. The Best trading strategy is now to go Long when Index is bouncing from Middle BB line and Exit when it is near upper line of Blue Channel. Hourly RSI shows Resistance at 85 level and Support at 59 level. So Blue channel along with RSI levels are good indicators for trade. It is not good idea to go short as Up Momentum is strong. If Index breaks Middle BB line then only short positions should be taken. If Bank Nifty breaks 18850/18800 then we may see it reach quickly to 18650/18600. Also it may break RSI support level of 59 for major correction. We may see Index moving along Upper BB line (Blue color) on Daily chart. Index may face resistance at 19150/19200 level. If it crosses 19200 it can reach to 19500/197000. Daily RSI is

Bank Nifty EOD Feb 7 Update!

Bank Nifty is in consolidation/correction mode. Today it moved in a very narrow range and it seems that it is under time correction before a BIG move. It is awaiting RBI monetary policy decision due on Feb 8 and bank Nifty may make Big move on Feb 9 in either direction depending on market's reaction to RBI decision. Bank Nifty 15 min chart shows wave a and wave b completed and wave c is in progress. It may take triangle pattern of correction as uncertainty of event outcome is playing out. It may correct to 20250/20030 levels.

Hindalco - On the Verge of Break-Down?

Hindalco Daily chart is posted below: Daily chart shows prices are facing resistance at Gann level 183 and now prices are near lower band of Bollinger Bands(BB) that are expanding. Hence, a big fall is expected in next 2-3 trading sessions with target of next Gann level 157. Daily RSI is also broke 50 level coming from upside overbought 70 level that signals further fall in coming days.

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