BankNifty Update For Jul-03, 2020

Banknifty opened 150+ points gap up @ 22133, reached our 1st target of 22300. It made top @ 22344 but could not sustain and sharply came down to 21900 levels. After that, it was typical expiry day rangebound move between 21900 and 22250.

The daily chart shows RSI holding 60 levels and the MACD line above the signal line. So further upmove is likely towards 22450-500 (recent top) and 22800-900 towards wedge upper line. But MACD histogram showing a lack of strong momentum in upmove.

The hourly chart shows the possibility of Banknifty coming towards moving averages (21750-21600) before it starts moving up.

FNO Data:

There is not much change in future OI (1%). But the spot to future difference is now @ premium of 24 from the discount of 47, a change of 71 points, suggesting short term bullish sentiments( or at least change from bearish sentiment). Since this is a long monthly expiry month, the premium should be much higher (So it is not strong bullish sentiment).

Trade Plan:

Above 22050 targets are 22200/220300/22450/22550/22700

Below 21900 targets are 21750/21600/21300

Comments

DAX analysis for a client

DAX Index Analysis For upto Feb 29, 2020 : Daily chart shows prices are at Strong resistance zone at upper trend line (red color). On Friday (Feb 14, 2020) it formed a Doji candle that is a sign of reversal as it formed at top and at resistance zone. So correction or reversal from this level is very likely. If prices cross above 13950 and sustains above then Breakout on upside is possible. But this looks very unlikely for at least few days as RSI indicator is also at resistance. At present it is in no trade zone. Best scenario is to wait for price to break 13600. Trade opportunities: Long Trade: Above 13950 for target of 14300. Short Trade: Below 13600 for target of 13450/13400 and below 13400 for target of 13100/13000 DAX Analysis for Swing Trade on Weekly Charts: Weekly chart shows price is at multiple channels and trend lines resistance. Trade opportunities: For few weeks or months holding Long Trade: Above 13950 for target of 14300/14800 and brea

Bullish Bets for coming week (Apr 13-17)

I have summarised my analysis in the following table. These are bullish stocks. Please do your own analysis and these are not recommendations but only for learning purposes Stock CMP Tgt 1 Tgt 2 Tgt 3 ITC 185.25 203 210 VEDL 76.8 92 96 NCC 20.15 23 26 28 RBL 120.85 134 140 SUNTV 338.3 360 365 390 CANBK 91.5 111 118 121 SBIN 187.75 194 202 211 RECLTD 89 101 106 INDIGO 1041.95 1100 1140 1160 HINDPETRO 207.85 218 223 227 Hindalco 107.55 113 127 134 CHOLAFIN 171.75 185 204 225 BHARATFORG 245.55 277 288 299 SRTRANSFIN 675.95 730 785 840 .

Bank Nifty Bigger Time Frame Analysis

I have posted following weekly chart of Bank Nifty in my Dec 15 post. This chart shows similarity in patterns. The pattern started in Aug 2013 and completed in Oct 2016 as shown below: This is "Extracting Triangle Pattern" as per Advanced Elliott Wave (Neo Wave). Ongoing pattern looks similar to Extracting Triangle Pattern and as per this pattern wave D seems to be in progress. After completion of wave D, index will move towards upward channel line(RED) in wave E. Once the pattern gets completed, we should expect index to go below wave D. I am just aware about Neo wave patterns but do not have knowledge about its calculations/counts. In Extracting Triangle pattern, each successive wave in the direction of trend contracts while corrective waves expand (wave A< wave C < wave E, wave D > wave B) It looks similar to Head & Shoulder pattern So possibility of Down move is quite high post Jan 2017.

MoneyNaad

Search This Blog