BankNifty Update Jun-4, 2020

After making Gap up opening and sharp upmove towards our target of 21300, Banknifty moved much higher to 21619 but reversed very sharply in last hour closing @ 20940.

As I mentioned in yesterday's post Jun-3/Jun-4 are very important dates. If we take a look at today's candle it very much resembles the reversal candle made on Apr-30. It reversed from the resistance zone of Mar-27 and Apr-30 tops. It also shows the possibility of the H&S pattern if Apr-30 high is not taken out. Tomorrow's session is important (Jun-4) can set the tone for the next move.

Observe the BIG Divergence in the MACD-Histogram line indicator on the hourly chart. It has more importance as Banknifty reversed from the resistance zone.

Gann Box Daily chart showing reversal from resistance and bearish Doji candle

Weekly Gann Angles:

Resistance at Weekly angles and reversal.

India VIX Daily Gann Box time cycle date is Jun-4

So most of the setups are showing reversal from the resistance zone and hence the high probability of top is made today considering time cycles matching with the same.

Comments

VIX Analysis

The daily VIX chart shows the formation of Doji candles at the bottom and reversal. The daily RSI crossed the previous resistance level of 40. The MACD signal gave bullish crossover suggesting bullish move in VIX. So the daily chart shows the possibility of VIX moving towards 28 levels in the coming days. The weekly chart shows the formation of wedge and reversal from the bottom. VIX may move towards the upper wedge line @ 29-30. So VIX suggesting the bearish mood of the market and hence the high possibility of fall in Nifty-50 and Banknifty in the coming days/weeks. VIX Gann Box: The daily Gann Box shows a reversal from the mid-zone of time factor points. The next time factor date is Jul-21. So will VIX continue to move high till Jul-21 or it will reverse from angle point? Wait and watch. Using VIX to spot Intraday Reversal on Indices: VIX is a very useful indicator to spot reversal during day trade. If the price of an index moves up and @ resistance zone watch values of VIX. If VIX s...

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BankNifty Update For Jul-09,2020 - Weekly Expiry

Banknifty opened Gap up @ 22700 and then achieved all our bullish targets of 23900/23000. But the upmove was very choppy and looked like terminating pattern and was not easy to trade. So I did not take a trade on the upside. My observation was Banknifty good up (250-300 points) while Nifty was not at all moving up and was just 10-15 points up and VIX was increasing. That was a signal that there is a high probability of reversal. (I twitted this around 12.30 pm). Banknifty continued its upmove and VIX was not falling, so I was sure that reversal is on the card from the strong resistance zone of 23900-23000/50. In yesterday's post, I mentioned about daily RSI @ resistance. That was another reason I was expecting a high probability of fall after it moved higher levels to come to at least yesterday's close levels or below. I got down-trade from almost 23000 to 22700 (got out earlier as it was intraday and not much time left though I was expecting at least 22600. It gave a much lowe...

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