BankNifty Update For Jun-12, 2020

As expected today's expiry was fiery one! Once Banknifty broke 21100, it achieved our target of 20700, making a low of 20525. Yesterday's RSI level of 60 and a inside bar was one of the clues for such a move possibility. Also, VIX constantly suggesting down bias as there is no fall in VIX with upmove and rather we see an increase in its value.

There is a strong possibility of reversal of the trend and we may see a sharp down move in the coming days/weeks. This confirmation will happen only when Banknifty breaks 20300 levels.

The daily chart shows Banknifty still holding 20400-300 zone. If it opens the gap down below 20300 then we may get a good down move towards 20000/19700/19500/19000.

The hourly chart showing MACD crossing zero which is a strong bearish signal. Bearish MA crossover worked well. Below 20300, supports are 20100/19700/20450/19000.

F & O Data:

Banknifty spot to future discount is 16 (changed from a premium of 19 yesterday, change of -35 points). OI spurts data shows a 40.6% change in OI. Future OI decreased by 6%, suggesting long position unwinding.

India VIX:

Keep a close watch on VIX. It is likely to move up sharply in the coming days.

Trade Plan:

Global clues suggesting possible BIG Gap down opening tomorrow.

Below 20300 targets are 20100/19700/19500/19000

The above 20700 targets are 20900/21100.

Comments

Bank Nifty for Week Starting Jan 16, 2017

Last week Bank Nifty made big up move of 650 points. High made is 18966. It looks like it is ready for further up move. On hourly chart Middle BB line(RED color) is providing support and Index may again move up towards upper line of Blue Channel. The Best trading strategy is now to go Long when Index is bouncing from Middle BB line and Exit when it is near upper line of Blue Channel. Hourly RSI shows Resistance at 85 level and Support at 59 level. So Blue channel along with RSI levels are good indicators for trade. It is not good idea to go short as Up Momentum is strong. If Index breaks Middle BB line then only short positions should be taken. If Bank Nifty breaks 18850/18800 then we may see it reach quickly to 18650/18600. Also it may break RSI support level of 59 for major correction. We may see Index moving along Upper BB line (Blue color) on Daily chart. Index may face resistance at 19150/19200 level. If it crosses 19200 it can reach to 19500/197000. Daily RSI is

Bank Nifty EOD Update Feb 15

Bank Nifty today move down sharply after opening Gap up and making Top of 20368 just near Gann No 20364 and reversed sharply making Low at 20115 and closed at 20163. It seems wave B is completed at 20368 and wave C is started (confirmation only when Bank Nifty crosses 20000). We may see bank Nifty moving sharply to 19700/19500. Daily chart shows RSI crossing 70 level from top that shows possibility of down move. Also Bank Nifty broke lower channel lines (Blue as well as Red). So Bank Nifty may fall sharply in wave C.

BanknIfty Update for Jul-15, 2020

Banknifty opened Gap Down and continuously moved down. In the last 2 days, it almost falls more than 1200 points. We are able to capture this move from almost the top of 23000. The daily chart shows Banknifty took support at 30-EMA levels. MACD signal gave a bearish crossover signaling possibility of further fall in the coming days. RSI @ significant levels of 50. Break of 20900 could lead to a sharp fall towards 19700/19500. On the hourly chart, the MACD signal gave bearish crossover yesterday, and we saw a good fall in Banknifty. Gann Box: Weekly Gann Box shows Banknifty exactly changed the trend from the time factor zone. Also, the weekly opening was near the angle and it reversed after hitting angle and gave a good fall. It signaling a bearish trend for the coming weeks. On the daily Gann Box chart, we can see today Banknifty opened near angle, hit angle, and reversed sharply giving good down move. FNO Data: The future OI decreased by 7% signaling short covering with fall. The spot

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