Banknifty Update For May-22, 2020

As expected Banknifty moved up and made high of 18200. It then reversed and made low at 17658. So this rangebound move between Gann Numbers 18300-17600 is continued.

Today's candle on the Daily chart is a bearish candle. Tomorrow will be crucial to watch, how Banknifty gives weekly close. Next week is truncated week as Monday is a holiday, so we have extended weekend and only 3 days to Monthly expiry in the next week.

The Banknifty Jun & Jul expiry futures are at a high discount to spot price (90 and 87). Yesterday Jun expiry future was just at 3 point discount to spot. Also OI spurt data shows an increase in Banknifty OI at 43%. This signals the possibility of shorts built-up in Banknifty.

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DAX analysis for a client

DAX Index Analysis For upto Feb 29, 2020 : Daily chart shows prices are at Strong resistance zone at upper trend line (red color). On Friday (Feb 14, 2020) it formed a Doji candle that is a sign of reversal as it formed at top and at resistance zone. So correction or reversal from this level is very likely. If prices cross above 13950 and sustains above then Breakout on upside is possible. But this looks very unlikely for at least few days as RSI indicator is also at resistance. At present it is in no trade zone. Best scenario is to wait for price to break 13600. Trade opportunities: Long Trade: Above 13950 for target of 14300. Short Trade: Below 13600 for target of 13450/13400 and below 13400 for target of 13100/13000 DAX Analysis for Swing Trade on Weekly Charts: Weekly chart shows price is at multiple channels and trend lines resistance. Trade opportunities: For few weeks or months holding Long Trade: Above 13950 for target of 14300/14800 and brea

Bullish Bets for coming week (Apr 13-17)

I have summarised my analysis in the following table. These are bullish stocks. Please do your own analysis and these are not recommendations but only for learning purposes Stock CMP Tgt 1 Tgt 2 Tgt 3 ITC 185.25 203 210 VEDL 76.8 92 96 NCC 20.15 23 26 28 RBL 120.85 134 140 SUNTV 338.3 360 365 390 CANBK 91.5 111 118 121 SBIN 187.75 194 202 211 RECLTD 89 101 106 INDIGO 1041.95 1100 1140 1160 HINDPETRO 207.85 218 223 227 Hindalco 107.55 113 127 134 CHOLAFIN 171.75 185 204 225 BHARATFORG 245.55 277 288 299 SRTRANSFIN 675.95 730 785 840 .

Bank Nifty Bigger Time Frame Analysis

I have posted following weekly chart of Bank Nifty in my Dec 15 post. This chart shows similarity in patterns. The pattern started in Aug 2013 and completed in Oct 2016 as shown below: This is "Extracting Triangle Pattern" as per Advanced Elliott Wave (Neo Wave). Ongoing pattern looks similar to Extracting Triangle Pattern and as per this pattern wave D seems to be in progress. After completion of wave D, index will move towards upward channel line(RED) in wave E. Once the pattern gets completed, we should expect index to go below wave D. I am just aware about Neo wave patterns but do not have knowledge about its calculations/counts. In Extracting Triangle pattern, each successive wave in the direction of trend contracts while corrective waves expand (wave A< wave C < wave E, wave D > wave B) It looks similar to Head & Shoulder pattern So possibility of Down move is quite high post Jan 2017.

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