Skip to main content

Banknifty analysis for Week starting May 4, 2020

Bank nifty gave strong up-move in the last 2 trading sessions and made new high crossing high made on Mar 27,2020. SGX nifty is showing clear sign of Big Gap down on Monday May 4.

From low of Mar 24 prices are moving in upside correction in the form of ABC pattern. Wave A is completed on Apr 27 @ 21462 and wave "B" on downside is completed on Apr 3 @ 17143. Right now prices are moving in wave "C" which is forming the "Ending Diagonal" pattern.

I am showing 2 scenarios in that case. Here is an hourly chart of bank nifty.


Scenario 1:

Banknifty continuously fall and breaks 18700 in the coming days then it will confirm start of the down move and we can have targets of 17200 followed by 16200. I am considering this as Low probable scenario.

Scenario 2:

Banknifty holds 19500 levels and moves up as shown by blue lines. I see this as a highly probable case where coming days fall will complete the "d" wave of bigger wave "C" and again up-move will start to complete wave "e" to complete the Ending Diagonal pattern. Wave "e' may or may not go above wave "c"

Gann Time Cycles: 

Mar 21-22 (Equinox/Solstice) is one of the Gann Major time cycle dates of the year and May 8 is Minor cycle date. Banknifty (Nifty too) reversed from low on Mar 24. So I will not surprised if Banknifty consolidates still May 8 before making a big move around May 8.

Let's wait and watch!

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

VIX Analysis

The daily VIX chart shows the formation of Doji candles at the bottom and reversal. The daily RSI crossed the previous resistance level of 40. The MACD signal gave bullish crossover suggesting bullish move in VIX. So the daily chart shows the possibility of VIX moving towards 28 levels in the coming days. The weekly chart shows the formation of wedge and reversal from the bottom. VIX may move towards the upper wedge line @ 29-30. So VIX suggesting the bearish mood of the market and hence the high possibility of fall in Nifty-50 and Banknifty in the coming days/weeks. VIX Gann Box: The daily Gann Box shows a reversal from the mid-zone of time factor points. The next time factor date is Jul-21. So will VIX continue to move high till Jul-21 or it will reverse from angle point? Wait and watch. Using VIX to spot Intraday Reversal on Indices: VIX is a very useful indicator to spot reversal during day trade. If the price of an index moves up and @ resistance zone watch values of VIX. If VIX s...

Intraday Index Options Trading by Degree Gann Number System ! E-book available on Amazon - Download FREE!

  For the next 3-days, E-book is available FREE for download! Take advantage of this promotion. Requesting to write a review on amazon. Download link:- https:// amazon.in/dp/B09DHFS5KJ

BankNifty Update For Jul-09,2020 - Weekly Expiry

Banknifty opened Gap up @ 22700 and then achieved all our bullish targets of 23900/23000. But the upmove was very choppy and looked like terminating pattern and was not easy to trade. So I did not take a trade on the upside. My observation was Banknifty good up (250-300 points) while Nifty was not at all moving up and was just 10-15 points up and VIX was increasing. That was a signal that there is a high probability of reversal. (I twitted this around 12.30 pm). Banknifty continued its upmove and VIX was not falling, so I was sure that reversal is on the card from the strong resistance zone of 23900-23000/50. In yesterday's post, I mentioned about daily RSI @ resistance. That was another reason I was expecting a high probability of fall after it moved higher levels to come to at least yesterday's close levels or below. I got down-trade from almost 23000 to 22700 (got out earlier as it was intraday and not much time left though I was expecting at least 22600. It gave a much lowe...