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Banknifty Update for May-26, 2020

On May 22. Banknifty opened Gap Down @ 17554 and went down to 17424 and then sharply move up making top @ 17952. But could not sustain and fall sharply in the next hour making low @ 17105. After making low it was just rangebound within 17100 and 17350, closing day @ 17278.90.

Below is the Banknifty Weekly Angle chart. The prices did bounce from 45 degrees (1/1) angle zone but the bounce is not much and price closed near angle. That's a bearish signal.


The daily chart is still showing consolidation as MACD/RSI are flat. It did brake 17143 low made on Apr-3, but hold that level on closing basis. So brake of 17150 levels could start downfall or else consolidation may continue.


On the hourly chart price broke the neckline of H&S pattern and again enter the neckline zone and reversed. Now we are seeing resistance at the channel. So It indicates further down move possibilities.


F&O Data:

I mentioned in the last post "The Banknifty Jun & Jul expiry futures are at a high discount to spot price (90 and 87). Yesterday Jun expiry future was just at 3 point discount to spot. Also OI spurt data shows an increase in Banknifty OI at 43%. This signals the possibility of shorts built-up in Banknifty." So we did saw a good fall om May 25.

On May 22, there is a huge increase in Futures OI (28%). The May future is still at a high discount to spot (62.8 points) and OI spurt data @ 59.55%. The future is down by 429 points and Banknifty by 456. All suggesting more short built up in Bnaknifty. Let's wait and watch.

Also on Fri May-29, quarterly GDP data would release apart from Monthly expiry on May 28. The market may remain highly volatile due to these events.

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