Skip to main content

Bank Nifty for Week Starting Jan 16, 2017

Last week Bank Nifty made big up move of 650 points. High made is 18966. It looks like it is ready for further up move.
On hourly chart Middle BB line(RED color) is providing support and Index may again move up towards upper line of  Blue Channel.  The Best trading strategy is now to go Long when Index is bouncing from Middle BB line and Exit when it is near upper line of Blue Channel. Hourly RSI shows Resistance at 85 level and Support at 59 level. So Blue channel along with RSI levels are good indicators for trade. 

It is not good idea to go short as Up Momentum is strong. If Index breaks Middle BB line then only short positions should be taken. If Bank Nifty breaks 18850/18800 then we may see it reach quickly to 18650/18600. Also it may break RSI support level of 59 for major correction.
We may see Index moving along Upper BB line (Blue color) on Daily chart. Index may face resistance at 19150/19200 level. If it crosses 19200 it can reach to 19500/197000. Daily RSI is at 65 level and it may reach 70 level(Overbought level) before any major correction or reversal.
On Weekly chart, we can see Middle BB is at 19100 level. If Index crossed 19100/19150 it may quickly reach to 19700/19900. RSI crossed 50 level from down side in Weekly chart. So further up move possibility very likely.
Monthly chart showing that Index bounced back from Middle BB line and may move on Upper line of Brown channel i.e. around 19500. If it takes out 19500 then next target is Upper line of Black Channel i.e. 20200. Monthly RSI may touch RED trend line before correcting.

Inside Pitchfork(IP):

IP is showing breakout.
Another IP with different coordinates is showing Index crossed Median line and immediate target as 19200/19250 i.e. 0.5 upper SD line.

GANN Time Analysis:

Week starting Jan 16 is 17th  week from Top of 20265(made on 22 Sep, 2016-Equinox day). Also Jan 17th is 90th trading day from Top of 20576 (made on Sep 7,2016). So we may see some Big move this week and specially on/around Jan 17th.

For Next 2 weeks market may move up on Budget expectations and some volatile moves may happen based Q3 results of Major stocks.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

DAX analysis for a client

DAX Index Analysis For upto Feb 29, 2020 : Daily chart shows prices are at Strong resistance zone at upper trend line (red color). On Friday (Feb 14, 2020) it formed a Doji candle that is a sign of reversal as it formed at top and at resistance zone. So correction or reversal from this level is very likely. If prices cross above 13950 and sustains above then Breakout on upside is possible.   But this looks very unlikely for at least few days as RSI indicator is also at resistance. At present it is in no trade zone. Best scenario is to wait for price to break 13600. Trade opportunities: Long Trade:   Above 13950 for target of 14300. Short Trade: Below 13600 for target of 13450/13400 and below 13400 for target of 13100/13000 DAX Analysis for Swing Trade on Weekly Charts: Weekly chart shows price is at multiple channels and trend lines resistance. Trade opportunities: For few weeks or months holding Long Trade:   Above 13950 for target of 14300/14800 and brea

Bullish Bets for coming week (Apr 13-17)

I have summarised my analysis in the following table. These are bullish stocks. Please do your own analysis and these are not recommendations but only for learning purposes Stock CMP Tgt 1 Tgt 2 Tgt 3 ITC 185.25 203 210   VEDL 76.8 92 96   NCC 20.15 23 26 28 RBL 120.85 134 140   SUNTV 338.3 360 365 390 CANBK 91.5 111 118 121 SBIN 187.75 194 202 211 RECLTD 89 101 106   INDIGO 1041.95 1100 1140 1160 HINDPETRO 207.85 218 223 227 Hindalco 107.55 113 127 134 CHOLAFIN 171.75 185 204 225 BHARATFORG 245.55 277 288 299 SRTRANSFIN 675.95 730 785 840 .

Bank Nifty Bigger Time Frame Analysis

I have posted following weekly chart of Bank Nifty in my Dec 15 post. This chart shows similarity in patterns. The pattern started in Aug 2013 and completed in Oct 2016 as shown below: This is "Extracting Triangle Pattern" as per Advanced Elliott Wave (Neo Wave). Ongoing pattern looks similar to Extracting Triangle Pattern and as per this pattern wave D seems to be in progress. After completion of wave D, index will move towards upward channel line(RED) in wave E. Once the pattern gets completed, we should expect index to go below wave D. I am just aware about Neo wave patterns but do not have knowledge about its calculations/counts. In Extracting Triangle pattern, each successive wave in the direction of trend contracts while corrective waves expand (wave A< wave C < wave E, wave D > wave B) It looks similar to Head & Shoulder pattern So possibility of Down move is quite high post Jan 2017.